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Red17
53334.1
56932.1
501616.5
Blue57
51431.3
49620.3
287218.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93650501502002501757

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
533
#8
34.13.6
34.330.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
514
#16
31.30.9
32.231.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
569
#29
32.15.5
32.727.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.8
496
#34
20.30.9
16.015.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5016
#37
16.55.1
21.316.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
2872
#38
18.80.9
21.320.4
Auto
Teleop
End