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Red112
155414.5
20430.6
445844.1
Blue13
216112.9
35831.1
16072.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8645015020025030011213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4458
#14
44.12.2
41.944.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.0
358
#11
31.11.9
31.129.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
204
#30
30.61.6
25.627.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.8
2161
#46
12.92.5
14.512.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1554
#24
14.52.2
11.713.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.7
1607
#49
2.82.5
5.52.9
Auto
Teleop
End