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Red76
146841.6
54529.4
509920.4
Blue155
56932.1
52726.5
179653.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7910205015020025030076155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1468
#32
41.60.5
32.031.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.6
53.23.8
48.051.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
545
#27
29.40.5
29.929.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
569
#29
32.14.1
27.131.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5099
#45
20.40.5
20.920.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
527
#12
26.52.8
23.226.0
Auto
Teleop
End