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Red26
115633.9
52221.8
188013.2
Blue82
160031.4
226529.6
33453.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions468201001502002502682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1156
#24
33.91.4
22.120.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.5
334
#1
53.40.3
35.836.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
522
#63
21.82.1
20.118.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.6
1600
#27
31.40.5
18.018.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1880
#54
13.22.1
9.17.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.4
2265
#48
29.60.3
22.322.6
Auto
Teleop
End