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Red126
394032.3
313747.3
115633.9
Blue141
317136.6
301724.3
403979.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions621550100200250300350126141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3137
#33
47.32.7
37.340.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 32.5
4039
#11
79.90.0
71.071.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1156
#24
33.92.5
20.723.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
3171
#40
36.60.0
42.842.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3940
#22
32.32.5
18.621.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
24.30.0
26.426.4
Auto
Teleop
End