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Red40
163530.5
401243.0
47896.4
Blue123
27133.3
39528.4
257924.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6047010015020040123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4012
#16
43.01.5
16.515.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.6
271
#37
33.33.7
25.128.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1635
#25
30.51.5
32.030.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
395
#21
28.43.7
13.216.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4789
#46
6.41.5
9.27.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.8
2579
#28
24.26.2
10.616.8
Auto
Teleop
End