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Red127
64025.8
39528.4
138213.4
Blue192
515112.0
226529.6
179655.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3087050150200250300350127192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
395
#21
28.44.4
16.921.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 26.7
1796
#51
55.15.7
49.154.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
640
#26
25.87.3
12.119.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
2265
#48
29.65.7
21.427.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1382
#59
13.47.3
10.117.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
5151
#30
12.09.5
7.717.2
Auto
Teleop
End