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Red38
394032.3
35330.6
81022.7
Blue43
35429.1
42110.4
74318.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75330501001502002503843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3940
#22
32.31.5
21.019.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
354
#7
29.10.3
14.414.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
353
#34
30.61.5
32.530.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.4
743
#15
18.20.2
17.817.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
810
#41
22.71.5
15.413.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.3
421
#52
10.40.3
7.77.9
Auto
Teleop
End