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Red70
123050.3
515112.0
48561.5
Blue10
11555.5
426314.5
257924.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71340501001502007010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.30.2
42.642.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.2
2579
#28
24.22.5
21.018.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5151
#30
12.00.4
17.217.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
4263
#58
14.52.5
9.67.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4856
#65
1.50.4
5.76.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
1155
#53
5.51.5
9.58.0
Auto
Teleop
End