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Red51
51428.0
226529.6
42110.4
Blue73
528919.0
33453.4
37533.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63960501502002505173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2265
#48
29.60.9
23.222.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.8
334
#1
53.40.9
36.735.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
514
#23
28.01.1
31.330.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.0
375
#18
33.01.0
40.039.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
421
#52
10.41.4
13.812.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.6
19.06.4
19.012.5
Auto
Teleop
End