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Qual 512014 New York City Regional
Red21
468411.6
234419.0
138213.4
Blue57
452812.4
37120.1
36943.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions516501001502002503003502157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2344
#32
19.02.7
21.8→19.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 24.7
369
#12
43.60.3
41.0→40.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1382
#59
13.42.7
17.5→14.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.7
371
#45
20.10.3
8.7→8.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4684
#66
11.62.7
13.7→11.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.7
4528
#50
12.40.5
12.8→12.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—