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Red85
81022.7
313747.3
464021.2
Blue21
515112.0
188419.3
412226.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions844401001502008521

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3137
#33
47.30.4
45.645.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.0
4122
#17
26.31.5
19.518.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
810
#41
22.70.4
17.818.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
1884
#38
19.32.4
13.310.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4640
#42
21.20.6
14.214.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.2
5151
#30
12.02.4
17.615.1
Auto
Teleop
End