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Red75
394032.3
512312.7
429917.3
Blue41
226529.6
163530.5
33515.4
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions467401001502002503007541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3940
#22
32.31.2
24.625.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
1635
#25
30.52.4
25.022.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4299
#55
17.32.0
15.217.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.3
2265
#48
29.61.4
26.625.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5123
#57
12.72.0
10.913.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
335
#31
15.42.4
18.015.6
Auto
Teleop
End