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Red59
64025.8
426314.5
452812.4
Blue69
520217.8
33515.4
139632.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37660501001502002505969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
640
#26
25.81.4
22.624.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
1396
#13
32.30.6
30.431.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4263
#58
14.51.5
6.47.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
5202
#49
17.80.6
15.416.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4528
#50
12.41.4
12.413.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
335
#31
15.40.6
15.616.2
Auto
Teleop
End