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Red60
515112.0
512312.7
317136.6
Blue178
160031.4
36943.6
479731.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5793015020025060178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3171
#40
36.60.1
37.737.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.0
369
#12
43.64.5
38.242.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5123
#57
12.70.2
12.912.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.7
1600
#27
31.46.5
24.931.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5151
#30
12.00.2
12.212.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.0
4797
#39
31.06.5
24.431.0
Auto
Teleop
End