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Red199
52221.8
226529.6
123050.3
Blue111
313747.3
320417.6
139632.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7897050150200250199111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.35.9
44.550.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
3137
#33
47.30.9
46.547.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2265
#48
29.65.9
23.729.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
1396
#13
32.31.2
31.032.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
522
#63
21.89.2
12.621.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
3204
#29
17.61.2
16.317.6
Auto
Teleop
End