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Red197
34158.4
279145.8
493046.4
Blue190
525447.0
280952.6
19136.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152130050100200250300350400197190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#4
58.40.8
57.858.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
52.60.9
51.652.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4930
#22
46.40.8
45.846.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
5254
#14
47.00.9
46.047.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2791
#19
45.80.8
45.246.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.4
191
#29
36.40.9
35.436.4
Auto
Teleop
End