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Red13
493046.4
395126.9
25036.2
Blue126
450825.8
115510.7
300340.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions926805015020025030013126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4930
#22
46.44.2
36.532.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
3003
#18
40.73.0
40.443.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
250
#16
36.23.8
33.930.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.5
4508
#32
25.83.0
16.019.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3951
#23
26.96.3
17.911.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.2
1155
#37
10.74.5
15.520.0
Auto
Teleop
End