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Red151
155145.0
33436.7
34158.4
Blue116
151161.5
409313.1
25036.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9197050150200151116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#4
58.43.0
43.446.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
1511
#10
61.51.0
48.949.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1551
#21
45.04.9
26.231.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
250
#16
36.21.0
30.131.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
334
#3
36.74.9
22.127.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.5
4093
#49
13.11.7
16.818.5
Auto
Teleop
End