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Red130
395126.9
222828.1
300340.7
Blue61
402315.9
450825.8
19136.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8855010015020025013061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3003
#18
40.72.4
40.442.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
191
#29
36.40.1
34.234.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
28.12.4
31.734.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
4508
#32
25.80.0
17.817.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3951
#23Sur
26.94.0
10.514.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.0
4023
#42Sur
15.90.1
8.18.2
Auto
Teleop
End