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Red81
176518.7
112657.2
159114.2
Blue58
524015.5
155145.0
395126.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions925501502008158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1126
#26
57.20.3
52.752.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.2
1551
#21
45.00.3
31.431.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1765
#46
18.70.4
15.114.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.2
3951
#23
26.90.3
14.414.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1591
#41
14.20.4
18.317.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
5240
#47
15.50.3
15.215.0
Auto
Teleop
End