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Red111
301728.5
151831.8
149335.5
Blue128
304444.2
301557.5
155145.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75118050100150200250111128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1493
#25
35.51.4
40.341.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.9
57.50.8
48.148.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1518
#33
31.82.4
22.124.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.2
1551
#21
45.01.4
28.029.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3017
#24
28.52.4
19.922.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.7
3044
#15
44.20.8
35.536.3
Auto
Teleop
End