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Red55
25036.2
524015.5
383817.9
Blue93
279145.8
402315.9
63943.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions569301502005593

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
250
#16
36.20.3
33.833.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.6
2791
#19
45.80.3
36.636.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3838
#44
17.90.6
12.812.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 25.2
639
#30
43.10.3
34.034.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5240
#47
15.50.6
15.114.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
4023
#42
15.90.5
16.717.1
Auto
Teleop
End