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Red77
317322.5
155145.0
383817.9
Blue118
524015.5
525447.0
493046.4
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions688105010015077118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1551
#21
45.00.6
29.430.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
5254
#14
47.03.2
30.834.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3173
#39
22.50.3
28.628.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.9
4930
#22
46.41.9
34.136.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3838
#44
17.90.6
12.312.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
5240
#47
15.53.2
14.517.8
Auto
Teleop
End