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Red113
158541.6
176518.7
57848.1
Blue159
383817.9
33436.7
37854.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8497050150200250113159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
578
#20
48.11.3
34.135.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.5
378
#28
54.63.2
57.760.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1585
#12
41.61.9
31.933.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
334
#3
36.74.6
27.632.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1765
#46
18.71.9
20.122.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
3838
#44
17.94.6
10.014.6
Auto
Teleop
End