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Red131
151161.5
524015.5
226523.2
Blue158
158541.6
279145.8
149335.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76114050100150200250131158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1511
#10
61.52.4
54.056.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.7
2791
#19
45.82.5
38.140.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2265
#40
23.23.3
10.613.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.4
1585
#12
41.63.3
33.937.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5240
#47
15.53.3
17.420.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.1
1493
#25
35.52.5
36.238.7
Auto
Teleop
End