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Red100
80159.0
176518.7
37854.6
Blue137
149335.5
34158.4
74320.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10693050150200250300350100137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
801
#13
59.00.2
42.642.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
341
#4
58.42.1
41.343.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
378
#28
54.60.2
46.246.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.0
1493
#25
35.52.1
39.341.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1765
#46
18.70.3
15.114.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
743
#31
20.43.5
14.217.7
Auto
Teleop
End