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Red126
159268.0
176518.7
34048.9
Blue196
25036.2
525447.0
301557.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133124050100150200250300350126196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1592
#11
68.00.3
67.567.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.6
57.53.5
50.854.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
340
#5
48.90.3
41.941.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
5254
#14
47.04.7
39.444.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1765
#46
18.70.4
22.121.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.6
250
#16
36.23.5
34.938.5
Auto
Teleop
End