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Red156
34158.4
301728.5
34048.9
Blue162
158541.6
304444.2
300340.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122114050100150200250156162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#4
58.41.7
54.456.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.2
3044
#15
44.22.3
41.443.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
340
#5
48.91.7
41.643.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
1585
#12
41.62.8
37.240.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3017
#24
28.52.1
25.227.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.1
3003
#18
40.72.3
37.239.5
Auto
Teleop
End