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Qual 982014 Finger Lakes Regional
Red141
150789.2
25036.2
159114.2
Blue119
525447.0
151831.8
34048.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149117050100200250300350141119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1507
#1
89.20.2
89.8→89.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 40.3
340
#5
48.90.2
43.4→43.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
250
#16
36.20.2
38.4→38.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 10.7
5254
#14
47.00.2
47.7→47.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1591
#41
14.20.2
16.2→16.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 17.6
1518
#33
31.80.2
31.2→31.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—