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Red145
395128.7
111484.8
112660.4
Blue232
124164.7
37849.3
61075.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1771910100300400500145232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
Unranked
84.80.6
86.686.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.6
610
Unranked
75.20.7
75.075.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1126
Unranked
60.40.6
62.261.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
1241
Unranked
64.70.7
64.665.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3951
Unranked
28.70.6
30.529.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.6
378
Unranked
49.30.7
49.249.9
Auto
Teleop
End