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Red70
300333.7
222826.5
299429.9
Blue206
37849.3
525436.9
403970.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9018405015025030035070206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3003
Unranked
33.71.7
38.236.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 37.3
4039
Unranked
70.91.8
71.573.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2994
Unranked
29.91.7
41.239.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.4
378
Unranked
49.31.8
54.155.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2228
Unranked
26.51.7
25.123.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.4
5254
Unranked
36.91.8
43.745.6
Auto
Teleop
End