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Red128
543314.0
491448.1
285252.3
Blue25
493046.3
525436.9
318110.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12111940608010014016012825

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2852
Unranked
52.30.4
55.355.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
4930
Unranked
46.34.7
55.250.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4914
Unranked
48.10.4
50.851.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.2
5254
Unranked
36.94.7
45.640.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5433
Unranked
14.00.6
14.815.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
3181
Unranked
10.84.7
18.313.6
Auto
Teleop
End