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Red109
525436.9
150782.7
86527.7
Blue111
403970.9
19126.5
318110.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18592050150250300350109111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1507
Unranked
82.73.1
96.793.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.8
4039
Unranked
70.90.3
67.267.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5254
Unranked
36.93.1
40.937.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.4
191
Unranked
26.50.3
25.025.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
865
Unranked
27.73.1
33.330.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.9
3181
Unranked
10.80.3
13.613.9
Auto
Teleop
End