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Red162
301551.0
285252.3
63933.2
Blue103
155929.3
447650.1
128547.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138145050100200250300350162103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2852
Unranked
52.31.1
55.756.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
4476
Unranked
50.12.0
56.554.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3015
Unranked
51.01.1
42.844.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
1285
Unranked
47.52.0
51.549.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
639
Unranked
33.21.1
40.641.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
1559
Unranked
29.32.0
35.733.6
Auto
Teleop
End