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Red47
493046.3
395128.7
86527.7
Blue81
151823.7
299429.9
57840.0
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105950501502002504781

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4930
Unranked
46.32.8
46.143.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
578
Unranked
40.00.8
40.139.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3951
Unranked
28.72.8
27.024.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
2994
Unranked
29.90.8
31.831.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
865
Unranked
27.72.8
30.227.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
1518
Unranked
23.70.8
24.824.0
Auto
Teleop
End