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Red94
300333.7
124164.7
318110.8
Blue67
299429.9
133433.8
63933.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1131040501502009467

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
Unranked
64.70.9
65.364.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 30.9
1334
Unranked
33.81.9
38.336.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3003
Unranked
33.70.9
35.134.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
639
Unranked
33.21.9
36.034.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3181
Unranked
10.80.9
11.310.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.1
2994
Unranked
29.91.9
31.029.1
Auto
Teleop
End