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Red50
155929.3
525436.9
158530.5
Blue36
151823.7
128547.5
317315.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106870501502002505036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5254
Unranked
36.92.7
38.535.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.6
1285
Unranked
47.52.7
49.146.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1585
Unranked
30.52.7
33.130.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
1518
Unranked
23.72.7
23.020.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1559
Unranked
29.32.7
32.029.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.8
3173
Unranked
15.52.7
18.215.5
Auto
Teleop
End