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Red210
491448.1
403970.9
151823.7
Blue35
234016.5
37849.3
63933.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1521465010020025021035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4039
Unranked
70.92.9
68.671.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.6
378
Unranked
49.35.6
59.754.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4914
Unranked
48.12.9
50.753.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.9
639
Unranked
33.25.6
51.646.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1518
Unranked
23.72.9
31.834.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
2340
Unranked
16.55.6
35.630.0
Auto
Teleop
End