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Red183
111484.8
395128.7
112660.4
Blue260
151823.7
34040.6
403970.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions188116050150250300350183260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
Unranked
84.80.1
85.885.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.9
4039
Unranked
70.92.2
68.170.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1126
Unranked
60.40.1
61.461.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.8
340
Unranked
40.62.2
37.840.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3951
Unranked
28.70.1
29.729.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
1518
Unranked
23.72.2
20.923.1
Auto
Teleop
End