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Red126
285252.3
150782.7
155135.0
Blue162
124164.7
37849.3
61075.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions168194050100150250300350400126162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1507
Unranked
82.70.8
83.482.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
610
Unranked
75.20.5
75.575.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2852
Unranked
52.30.8
53.152.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.4
1241
Unranked
64.70.5
65.064.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1551
Unranked
35.00.8
35.735.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.3
378
Unranked
49.30.5
49.649.2
Auto
Teleop
End