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Red111
300340.4
149339.3
37937.9
Blue152
301530.3
151148.0
57826.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12296050150200250111152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.40.1
40.540.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.6
48.01.0
46.347.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1493
#24
39.30.1
39.439.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.1
3015
#20
30.30.9
28.829.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
379
#22
37.90.1
38.037.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.8
578
#13
26.10.9
24.625.5
Auto
Teleop
End