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Red115
420337.9
503037.1
35832.7
Blue112
222833.4
304434.8
368728.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76580100150200250115112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4203
#15
37.93.5
32.936.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
3044
#14
34.84.3
18.722.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
37.13.5
13.416.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
2228
#16
33.44.3
26.831.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
358
#18
32.73.5
27.030.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
3687
#10
28.14.3
15.319.5
Auto
Teleop
End