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Red141
166519.5
112654.5
17447.4
Blue112
399037.3
149339.3
450816.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions948550150141112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.54.0
38.542.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.2
1493
#24
39.32.1
26.028.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
174
#8
47.44.0
39.543.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.1
37.32.1
43.145.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1665
#26
19.54.0
14.718.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
4508
#37
16.02.1
17.419.5
Auto
Teleop
End