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Red100
14531.3
11620.8
399037.3
Blue96
37937.9
57826.1
450816.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions978105015020010096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.30.4
39.640.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
379
#22
37.91.0
35.636.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
145
#17
31.30.4
35.535.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
578
#13
26.11.0
28.029.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
116
#31
20.80.4
19.219.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
4508
#37
16.01.0
19.920.9
Auto
Teleop
End