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Red65
22913.5
301530.3
112654.5
Blue122
52717.7
14531.3
87036.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1108105015020065122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.52.2
55.152.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.4
870
#9
36.12.2
35.037.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3015
#20
30.32.5
33.831.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
145
#17
31.32.2
32.935.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
229
#35
13.52.5
16.614.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
527
#36
17.72.2
17.820.0
Auto
Teleop
End