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Red143
83943.9
14538.1
19041.8
Blue165
151142.5
420342.9
523630.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122115050100150200250143165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
839
Unranked
43.90.4
42.843.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
4203
Unranked
42.90.8
42.943.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
190
Unranked
41.80.4
40.841.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
1511
Unranked
42.50.8
42.543.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
145
Unranked
38.10.4
37.037.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
5236
Unranked
30.60.8
30.631.5
Auto
Teleop
End