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Red68
280938.7
14538.1
420342.9
Blue100
149333.4
523630.6
2051.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113117020030040050068100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4203
Unranked
42.92.3
34.031.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.7
20
Unranked
51.60.8
58.357.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2809
Unranked
38.72.3
53.851.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
1493
Unranked
33.40.8
31.831.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
145
Unranked
38.12.3
25.723.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
5236
Unranked
30.60.8
26.425.5
Auto
Teleop
End