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Red142
523630.6
151142.5
420342.9
Blue95
279137.4
304444.3
280938.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116123020030040014295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4203
Unranked
42.90.4
43.143.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
3044
Unranked
44.30.4
44.844.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1511
Unranked
42.50.4
42.843.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
2809
Unranked
38.70.4
39.138.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5236
Unranked
30.60.4
30.931.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
2791
Unranked
37.40.4
37.837.4
Auto
Teleop
End