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Red158
350636.3
332455.5
381416.3
Blue72
359150.1
108639.5
67730.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions779805015020015872

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.56.5
37.544.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
3591
#11
50.11.1
38.237.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3506
#20
36.33.9
32.035.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
1086
#28
39.51.3
27.826.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3814
#34
16.36.5
10.517.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.6
677
#39
30.01.9
28.826.9
Auto
Teleop
End